Sports · Kalshi
Adrian Meronk leads at the end of Round 1
As of Oct 16, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 20%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 20%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (15d 22h)
- Volume
- $91,776
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Roundabout journey leads to the priesthood · catholicregister.org
- Sorrento all-female crew leads the charge · mpnews.com.au
- Big brother leads way to title · henleystandard.co.uk
- Hardin qualifies for regionals, Tucker leads way · thevindicator.com
- FG opens fresh round of terrorism suspects' mass trials · premiumtimesng.com
- Cobourg investigation leads to sex assault arrest · thepeterboroughexaminer.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Adrian Meronk leads at the end of Round 1”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 20%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Adrian Meronk leads at the end of Round 1”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-16 00:42 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.