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For every Polymarket and Kalshi market we follow in finance, politics, crypto and sports, we publish our own YES or NO call. Each one is built from evidence (the news, price models, team-strength ratings and market technicals), never from the crowd's odds. When something changes we re-research at once, and every call is graded in public.
15-minute, hourly and 4-hour windows on Polymarket: will the price close above where the window opened? Calls come only from 5-minute candles: the MACD line crossing the signal line, confirmed by volume and volatility. A call can change only when a candle closes.
Crowd price vs our forecast. Click any market for the chart, the evidence and every revision.
Graded on the call we published up to 24 hours before each market resolved, never the last-minute call. Full record →
50% of graded calls correct.