| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 3d 14h |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | 19% | 20% | NO | 12d 14h |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | 79% | 80% | YES | 12d 14h |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? | 24% | 32% | NO | 13d 8h |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate | 72% | 73% | YES | 13d 8h |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 28% | 29% | NO | 13d 8h |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 24% | 28% | NO | 13d 18h |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 75% | 79% | YES | 13d 18h |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 96% | 96% | YES | 14d 14h |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 4% | 4% | NO | 14d 14h |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | 6% | 7% | NO | 14d 18h |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | 92% | 92% | YES | 14d 18h |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | 52% | 52% | Not sure | 14d 20h |
| Will average **gas prices** be above $4.70? — Above 4.70 | 4% | 5% | NO | 15d 18h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.80? | 14% | 15% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.90? | 10% | 11% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.00? | 9% | 9% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.10? | 10% | 11% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.20? | 4% | 5% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.50? | 4% | 4% | NO | 15d 20h |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | 72% | 74% | YES | 16d 6h |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | 24% | 27% | NO | 16d 6h |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | 26% | 30% | NO | 16d 6h |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | 22% | 23% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 8% | 9% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | 78% | 78% | YES | 16d 18h |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | 85% | 85% | YES | 16d 18h |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | 10% | 9% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | 26% | 26% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | 44% | 42% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026? | 2% | 2% | NO | 16d 19h |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | 90% | 90% | YES | 17d 14h |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | 8% | 8% | NO | 19d 19h |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | 87% | 88% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | 8% | 8% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | 93% | 94% | YES | 21d 14h |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | 8% | 9% | NO | 21d 14h |
| Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in October? | 4% | 3% | NO | 22d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October? — Above 0.0% | 94% | 95% | YES | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October? — Above 0.1% | 84% | 83% | YES | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October? — Above 0.2% | 44% | 50% | Not sure | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in October? — Above 0.3% | 18% | 22% | NO | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in October? — Above 0.4% | 6% | 5% | NO | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in October? — Above 0.5% | 2% | 3% | NO | 26d 4h |
| Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Oct 2026? — Above 0% | 40% | 41% | Not sure | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026? — Above 0.0% | 98% | 98% | YES | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026? — Above 0.1% | 80% | 82% | YES | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026? — Above 0.2% | 50% | 52% | Not sure | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026? — Above 0.3% | 19% | 25% | NO | 26d 4h |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026? — Above 0.4% | 14% | 13% | NO | 26d 4h |
| Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026? — Above 4.2 million | 98% | 98% | YES | 26d 5h |
| Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt? | 10% | 10% | NO | 26d 7h |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | 5% | 5% | NO | 35d 19h |
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