| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | 98% | 98% | YES | 18h 35m |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | 88% | 88% | YES | 6d 14h |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | 97% | 97% | YES | 6d 14h |
| Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026? | 6% | 4% | NO | 8d 18h |
| Will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate before the Brazil presidential runoff? — Before Oct 25, 2026 | 92% | 95% | YES | 9d 18h |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 38% | 38% | NO | 10d 14h |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | 69% | 69% | YES | 10d 14h |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 62% | 63% | YES | 10d 14h |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026? | 22% | 22% | NO | 11d 4h |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 28% | 30% | NO | 12d 18h |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 14% | 15% | NO | 12d 18h |
| Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 1 | 23% | 23% | NO | 16d 4h |
| Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 2 | 14% | 14% | NO | 16d 4h |
| Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 3 | 8% | 8% | NO | 16d 4h |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 80% | 79% | YES | 16d 14h |
| Will the White House announce an end to its press ban before Nov 1, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026? | 12% | 10% | NO | 16d 18h |
| Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 16d 19h |
| Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026? | 2% | 2% | NO | 16d 19h |
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026? | 97% | 97% | YES | 17d 5h |
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 20 in Oct 2026? | 95% | 97% | YES | 17d 5h |
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 21 in Oct 2026? | 90% | 86% | YES | 17d 5h |
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026? | 73% | 73% | YES | 17d 5h |
| Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026? | 24% | 23% | NO | 17d 5h |
| Will between 3 and 9 people be pardoned in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 | 82% | 84% | YES | 17d 5h |
| Will Dave Bronson drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026? | 14% | 15% | NO | 18d 19h |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect before Nov 3, 2026? | 6% | 5% | NO | 18d 19h |
| Will Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026? | 50% | 51% | Not sure | 18d 19h |
| Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026? | 32% | 31% | NO | 19d 5h |
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026? | 26% | 27% | NO | 19d 5h |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? — Before election day 2026 | 2% | 2% | NO | 19d 5h |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 3% | 3% | NO | 19d 7h |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 6% | 7% | NO | 19d 7h |
| Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026? | 14% | 14% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 19d 19h |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 62% | 63% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 74% | 77% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 64% | 66% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 63% | 68% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 30% | 32% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | 2% | 3% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | 96% | 95% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 10% | 11% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 36% | 40% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 24% | 25% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 38% | 42% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | 62% | 67% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 96% | 96% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 70% | 73% | YES | 19d 19h |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 8% | 9% | NO | 19d 19h |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 90% | 92% | YES | 19d 19h |
| Will Republicans win white women in the exit poll? — Republican party | 30% | 32% | NO | 22d 7h |
| Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time? | 92% | 93% | YES | 26d 5h |
| Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334? | 26% | 24% | NO | 31d 5h |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | 42% | 41% | Not sure | 46d 14h |
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