Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin above 79,600 on October 15, 2AM ET?

This market resolved YES on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome: YES
Our call: Not sure
Our forecast: 50%
Market then: 50%
Called: 2h before
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Neutral across 4 recent articles.
Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

Bitcoin Price Analysis: $105 Oil and ETF Outflows Hit BTC — 99bitcoins.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Tuesday, September 15, 2026: Crypto prices sliding this morning ahead of Fed meeting — finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin's Price Is Sitting on Support After a Brutal $79K Rejection — news.bitcoin.com
Bitcoin drops below $75,000, quickly rebounds above $76,000 as Fed rate hike fears rattle crypto — cryptobriefing.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 79,600 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

It resolved YES.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 79,600 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 05:41 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.