RocketCrypto · Polymarket · Resolved
Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 15, 2AM ET?
This market resolved NO on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).
- Outcome
- NO
- Our call
- Not sure
- Our forecast
- 50%
- Market then
- 50%
- Called
- 2h before
- Exchange
- Polymarket
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Why we think this
- Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?
It resolved NO.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?
Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 06:11 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.