Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 14, 9PM ET?

This market resolved NO on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome: NO
Our call: Not sure
Our forecast: 50%
Market then: 50%
Called: 2h before
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Leans NO across 25 recent articles.
Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

Bitcoin price loses $82,000 after hot CPI: Can $80,000 support hold? — Crypto News
Bitcoin price rises above $82,000, hitting $82,... — Pluang
Bitcoin price drops below $82,000, down 1.4% in 24 hours — Pluang
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Hot US Inflation Threatens BTC Drop Below $80K — FXEmpire
Bitcoin dips below $82,000 as US inflation rises, fueling rate hike concerns. — Pluang
Bitcoin Price Caught Between Bullish Averages and $84K Resistance — Cryptonews.net

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 14, 9PM ET?”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 14, 9PM ET?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 21, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 01:11 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.