Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 15, 2AM ET?

This market resolved NO on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome: NO
Our call: Not sure
Our forecast: 50%
Market then: 50%
Called: 2h before
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Leans YES across 10 recent articles.
Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

Bitcoin nears $80,000 support as inflation fears, rising Treasury yields pressure crypto markets — moneycontrol.com
Bitcoin Price at $82,650 After Hot September CPI: Bull and Bear Case as October Hike Odds Jump — financefeeds.com
Bitcoin Holds Near $82K as Fed Bill Purchase Sparks Liquidity Debate — coincentral.com
U.S. September CPI Exceeds Expectations, Bitcoin Falls Below $82,000 — kucoin.com
Bitcoin (BTC) Tumbles as Hot Inflation Report Puts October Rate Hike Back in Play — tipranks.com
Bitcoin Price This Week: $87,500 Bull or $80,000 Bear Into CPI and Bank Earnings — financefeeds.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 06:08 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.