Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 14, 9PM ET?

This market resolved NO on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome: NO
Our call: Not sure
Our forecast: 50%
Market then: 50%
Called: 2h before
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Leans YES across 8 recent articles.
Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Wednesday, October 14, 2026: Crypto prices sliding after higher-inflation report — finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin dips to $82,400 ahead of key U.S. infla... — Pluang
Bitcoin Price Faces CPI Reckoning as Analysts Eye $81,300 Support — news.bitcoin.com
Crypto Prices Today: Bitcoin Holds Near USD 82,400 as ETF Outflows, Oil Spike Test Support — Analytics Insight
Bitcoin slips as Crypto Fear and Greed Index cools to 56 — cryptobriefing.com
BTC price on Oct 14, 2026 at 11am EDT — Robinhood

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 14, 9PM ET?”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 14, 9PM ET?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 21, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 01:04 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.