Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 15, 2AM ET?

This market resolved NO on Oct 15, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 50% (market 50%) and called it Not sure: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome: NO
Our call: Not sure
Our forecast: 50%
Market then: 50%
Called: 2h before
Exchange: Polymarket

Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗

Why we think this

News: Neutral across 6 recent articles.
Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

BTC Price Prediction: MACD Stalls at Zero and Analysts Diverge as Bitcoin Holds $83,400 — blockchain.news
Crypto Prices Today: Bitcoin Holds Near USD 83,490 as US CPI, Fed Rate Talk Test the Rebound — analyticsinsight.net
Bitcoin Price Caught Between Bullish Averages and $84K Resistance — news.bitcoin.com
Wall Street Earnings, Sliding Chip Stocks Keep Bitcoin's Price at Bay — news.bitcoin.com
Crypto Prices Today: Bitcoin Holds Near USD 83,750 as ETF Outflows and CPI Risk Test Support — analyticsinsight.net
Bitcoin holds firm as ETF inflows continue: analysts assess rally’s strength — msn.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 15, 2AM ET?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

More crypto predictions

All crypto predictions →

Last updated 2026-10-15 06:03 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.