RocketScience

Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

This market resolved Down on Oct 24, 2026. 0 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 51% (market 48%) and called it Down: correct ✓.

Outcome
Down
Our call
Down
Our forecast
51%
Market then
48%
Called
0h before
Exchange
Polymarket

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Why we think this

  • The forecast tracks the de-noised market price; no strong outside evidence moves it yet.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET”?

Our call is NO at 51%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

See the exchange for the exact resolution time.

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-24 20:32 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.