Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
This market resolved Up on Oct 26, 2026. 0 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 45% (market 55%) and called it Down: wrong ✗.
- Outcome
- Up
- Our call
- Down
- Our forecast
- 45%
- Market then
- 55%
- Called
- 0h before
- Exchange
- Polymarket
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Why we think this
- The forecast tracks the de-noised market price; no strong outside evidence moves it yet.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET”?
It resolved YES.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET”?
Our call is NO at 45%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
See the exchange for the exact resolution time.
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-26 04:02 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.