RocketScience

Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?

This market resolved Down on Oct 28, 2026. 1 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 49% (market 64%) and called it Down: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome
Down
Our call
Down
Our forecast
49%
Market then
64%
Called
1h before
Exchange
Polymarket

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Why we think this

  • News: Neutral across 29 recent articles.
  • Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 28, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?”?

Our call is Down at 49%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 28, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-28 16:13 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.