RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 96%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Xinhua Silk Road: Forum held in Jakarta to boost Belt and Road tax administration cooperation · antaranews.com
- Woman held on felony charge after alleged hammer threat · lampasasdispatchrecord.com
- Retired postmaster killed over loudspeaker volume; three held · indiatimes.com
- Brownsburg tax preparer pleads guilty to filing fraudulent tax returns · wishtv.com
- California's wealth tax proposal undermines our entrepreneurial spirit – Press Telegram · presstelegram.com
- California's wealth tax proposal undermines our entrepreneurial spirit – San Bernardino Sun · sbsun.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 96%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 5, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 22:59 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.