Politics · Kalshi

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Ilhan Omar in MN-05 before Nov 3, 2026?

As of Oct 16, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 75%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 75%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Nov 3, 2026 (18d 13h)
Volume: $500
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 8 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

DHS Raids Rep. Ilhan Omar's Home · theonion.com
Ilhan Omar Investigation Heats Up · foxnews.com
Ilhan Omar's phone seized and relatives subpoenaed in criminal inquiry, source says | Ilhan Omar · theguardian.com
Judge Limits DOJ Access In Ilhan Omar Investigation · iheart.com
CNN Just Wrecked the Dems' Ilhan Omar Defense · wcbm.com
Who is Ilhan Omar? - Daily Press · dailypress.net

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Ilhan Omar in MN-05 before Nov 3, 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 75%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Ilhan Omar in MN-05 before Nov 3, 2026?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 3, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-16 01:40 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.