RocketCrypto · Kalshi
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $100000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Above $100,000.00
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 2%. RocketScience's forecast is 3%, 0.3 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 2%
- Our forecast
- 3%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
- Volume
- $6,164
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Leans YES across 2 recent articles.
- Spot-price model: the live Coinbase price, the strike and the time left support YES.
Latest headlines
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will BTC trimmed mean be above $100000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Above $100,000.00”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 2%. RocketScience forecasts 3% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will BTC trimmed mean be above $100000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Above $100,000.00”?
Our call is NO at 3%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.