RocketCrypto · Kalshi
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $72,500.00
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 17%. RocketScience's forecast is 18%, 1.4 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 17%
- Our forecast
- 18%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
- Volume
- $1,055
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- The forecast tracks the de-noised market price; no strong outside evidence moves it yet.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $72,500.00”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 17%. RocketScience forecasts 18% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $72,500.00”?
Our call is NO at 18%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More crypto predictions
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? 36%
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? 33%
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? 15%
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? 5%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? 88%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? 2%
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? 2%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? 4%
Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.