RocketCrypto · Kalshi
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $75,000.00
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 34%. RocketScience's forecast is 29%, 5.5 points below the market, and our call is NO. That gap is big enough for a Buy NO signal.
- Market odds
- 34%
- Our forecast
- 29%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Buy NO
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
- Volume
- $1,705
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- The forecast tracks the de-noised market price; no strong outside evidence moves it yet.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will BTC trimmed mean be below $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $75,000.00”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 34%. RocketScience forecasts 29% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will BTC trimmed mean be below $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026? — Below $75,000.00”?
Our call is NO at 29%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.