RocketScience

Crypto · Polymarket · Resolved

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14?

This market resolved YES on Oct 15, 2026. 0 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 99% (market 100%) and called it YES: not graded (too close to resolution).

Outcome
YES
Our call
YES
Our forecast
99%
Market then
100%
Called
0h before
Exchange
Polymarket

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Why we think this

  • News: Leans YES across 16 recent articles.
  • Spot-price model: the live Coinbase price, the strike and the time left argue against YES.
  • Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.

Latest headlines

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14?”?

It resolved YES.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14?”?

Our call is YES at 99%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 15, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 02:42 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.