Politics · Polymarket

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 38%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 38%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Nov 29, 2026 (44d 7h)
Volume: $545,437
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

Taipei mayoral candidates Chiang, Shen to debate Oct. 31 · focustaiwan.tw
《TAIPEI TIMES》Taipei mayor, Shen to hold first TV debate on Oct. 31 - 焦點 · ltn.com.tw
Can lo-fi TV be a "win / win?" · tvtonight.com.au
Mayor ekes out win on Chicago debt vote · bondbuyer.com
《TAIPEI TIMES》Illegal influencer's videos lead to overstayers' arrests - 焦點 · ltn.com.tw
Better conditions - Taipei Times · taipeitimes.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 38%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 29, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 21:32 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.