RocketScience

Politics · Kalshi

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 97%. RocketScience's forecast is 97%, 0.1 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds
97%
Our forecast
97%
Call
YES
Signal
Hold
Closes
Nov 1, 2026 (17d 5h)
Volume
$830
Exchange
Kalshi

Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗

Why we think this

  • News: Leans YES across 1 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 97%. RocketScience forecasts 97% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?”?

Our call is YES at 97%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.