RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 73%. RocketScience's forecast is 73%, 0.1 points below the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 73%
- Our forecast
- 73%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (17d 5h)
- Volume
- $784
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Leans YES across 2 recent articles.
Latest headlines
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 73%. RocketScience forecasts 73% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026?”?
Our call is YES at 73%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.