Crypto · Kalshi

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 15%. RocketScience's forecast is 19%, 4.0 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds: 15%
Our forecast: 19%
Call: NO
Signal: Hold
Closes: Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
Volume: $693
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

News: Likely YES across 9 recent articles.
Spot-price model: the live Coinbase price, the strike and the time left argue against YES.

Latest headlines

XRP Price Prediction Meets the Cost of Waiting as AlphaPepe Adds 100+ Holders Daily Ahead of Its Exchange Debut — openPR.com
Will XRP price rally to $1.60 as bullish catalysts line up? — msn.com
XRP Price Today: XRP Challenges $1.60 as Bullish Flag and EMA Crossover Align — bravenewcoin.com
XRP Completes a Major Breakout Retest After Seven Years: What’s Next? — 247wallst.com
XRP Tops $1.60 as 1,917 Whale Transactions Hit Monthly High — news.bitcoin.com
XRP crashes back below $1.50 despite ETF inflows: What just went wrong — msn.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 15%. RocketScience forecasts 19% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?”?

Our call is NO at 19%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.