RocketCrypto · Kalshi
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 11%. RocketScience's forecast is 9%, 1.7 points below the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 11%
- Our forecast
- 9%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
- Volume
- $4,613
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Neutral across 8 recent articles.
- Spot-price model: the live Coinbase price, the strike and the time left argue against YES.
Latest headlines
- XRP Tests $1 Support as ETF Inflows Drop and RLUSD Momentum Fades — scanx.trade
- Can XRP Price Reach $10? Here Is What the Math Says — CryptoTicker
- What to Expect From XRP Price in October 2026 — finance.yahoo.com
- XRP Price Prediction for 2027: What to Expect After the 2026 Rebound — 247wallst.com
- XRP Is at $1.41 and Hasn’t Closed Above $2 Since January. Can It Get There by December 31? — aol.com
- XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Hit $3 Soon If the Bull Market Returns? — CryptoTicker
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 11%. RocketScience forecasts 9% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?”?
Our call is NO at 9%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:31 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.