RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 4-8
As of Nov 3, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 30%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 28 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Troy Jackson Closes Maine Senate Race With Markey at His Side as Polls Show a Knife-Edge Tie · latintimes.com
- Maine Sen. Susan Collins, a Republican survivor, tries to defend seat against Democrat Troy Jackson · postregister.com
- Troy High School agricultural communications team wins FFA nationals · kdhnews.com
- Action 8 Update: Three arrests made in Troy shooting that left student dead · waka.com
- Troy Jackson leads in latest Maine Senate polls · bangordailynews.com
- S Club on Hannah fallout and truth behind awkward Claudia Winkleman interview · mirror.co.uk
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 4-8”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 30%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 4-8”?
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When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.