RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Sand by 6-9
As of Nov 3, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 33%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 33%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (34d 3h)
- Volume
- $1,043
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek rallies voters across Siouxland in final campaign push · ktiv.com
- A rare open Senate seat turns Iowa into a costly battleground featuring Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson · dailyadvance.com
- Josh Turek pitches "generational change" in tight Senate race as Iowa faces crushing health and affordability issues · cbsnews.com
- Rob Hunt Column: Disaster at Jacksonville a sign of things to come · heraldbulletin.com
- After Halloween humiliation, Martha Stewart's friends tell ROB SHUTER about her alarming behavior... thirsty nightwear photos... and her desperate bid to stay relevant: ROB SHUTER · dailymail.com
- Gqeberha businessman Rob Evans set to stand trial on Tuesday · theherald.co.za
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Sand by 6-9”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 33%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Rob Sand's governor margin minus Josh Turek's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Sand by 6-9”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.