RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate?
As of Nov 3, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 42%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 42%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (34d 3h)
- Volume
- $1,671
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Talarico leads Paxton in latest poll on Texas Senate race | FOX 4 Dallas-Fort Worth · fox4news.com
- Talarico leads Paxton in latest poll on Texas Senate race · fox26houston.com
- Candidates, experts focus on East Texas ahead of high-stakes U.S. Senate race · kltv.com
- Texas Senate candidate James Talarico praises man who called ICE 'new KKK' · foxnews.com
- Talarico soars to new high in Texas Senate odds three days before midterms · investmentwatchblog.com
- James Talarico Leads Texas Elections Polls, Eyes 1988 Senate Flip · el-balad.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 42%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.