RocketFinance · Polymarket
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 93%. RocketScience's forecast is 94%, 1.2 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 93%
- Our forecast
- 94%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 5, 2026 (21d 14h)
- Volume
- $138,107
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Higher EMIs ahead on SBI loans: State Bank of India revises lending interest rates; Check latest EBLR, RLL — The Economic Times
- BoE's Pill says a rate hike need not be start of long series — msn.com
- Hope for mortgage borrowers as BoE chief economist sceptical on forecasts of four rate hikes — msn.com
- Rising bond yields, softer labour data buy central banks time — RBC
- Bank of England's Pill says he's sceptical about market pricing four rate hikes — Reuters
- Barclays chief economist shares November prediction for interest rates change — Daily Mirror
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 93%. RocketScience forecasts 94% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?”?
Our call is YES at 94%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 5, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.