Finance · Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
As of Oct 26, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 20%. RocketScience's forecast is 50%, 29.5 points above the market, and our call is NO. Edge signals (when the gap is big enough to act on) are for Pro members.
- Market odds
- 20%
- Our forecast
- 50%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- 🔒 Pro
- Closes
- Dec 9, 2026 (44d 13h)
- Volume
- $1,039,647
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 26 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Higher interest rates to reshape India Inc's funding choices, put marginal capex under scrutiny · moneycontrol.com
- Fed expected to hold rates steady this week despite hot inflation — but signal they're not done hiking · aol.com
- XRP Leads Five-Asset Funding Rates at 10.9% as Bitcoin (BTC) Open Interest Rises · econotimes.com
- Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of US midterms · hurriyetdailynews.com
- National auction clearance rates for home properties drop below 50 per cent as interest rate fears stall buyers amid real estate downturn · afr.com
- 4 Investments That Could Make Sense If the Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates · aol.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 20%. RocketScience forecasts 50% (NO), updated Oct 26, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?”?
Our call is NO at 50%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 9, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-26 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.