RocketFinance · Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
As of Oct 26, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 76%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 76%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 9, 2026 (44d 13h)
- Volume
- $1,190,058
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- 4 Investments That Could Make Sense If the Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates · aol.com
- Higher interest rates to reshape India Inc's funding choices, put marginal capex under scrutiny · moneycontrol.com
- Liberty Utility gas rates set to increase after tariff filing · northcountrynow.com
- XRP Leads Five-Asset Funding Rates at 10.9% as Bitcoin (BTC) Open Interest Rises · econotimes.com
- ICICI Bank and Indian Bank increase FD interest rates: Senior citizens can now earn up to 7.30% in this FD · indiatimes.com
- Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of US midterms · hurriyetdailynews.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 76%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 9, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More finance predictions
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? crowd 95%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? crowd 4%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? crowd 6%
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? crowd 20%
- GTA 6 launch postponed again? crowd 4%
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? crowd 10%
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? crowd 86%
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? crowd 3%
Last updated 2026-10-26 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.