RocketFinance · Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 6%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 6%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026 (37d 6h)
- Volume
- $984,171
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 18 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- War fears grow as tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz · jamaica-gleaner.com
- Britain, Oman agree on need to open Strait of Hormuz · chinadaily.com.cn
- Strait Of Hormuz Ship Attacks Reach New High In · marinelink.com
- Iran: 7 oil tankers attacked in Strait of Hormuz · newburyportnews.com
- October Marks Highest Number of Strait of Hormuz Attacks · freerepublic.com
- Iran says seven tankers were damaged in Strait of Hormuz · theshillongtimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 6%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.