RocketFinance · Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 74%. RocketScience's forecast is 78%, 3.5 points above the market, and our call is YES. That gap is big enough for a Buy YES signal.
- Market odds
- 74%
- Our forecast
- 78%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Buy YES
- Closes
- Oct 29, 2026 (13d 18h)
- Volume
- $12,058,297
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Fed officials: Raising interest rates again this year is appropriate. — Vietnam.vn
- What to expect at the next Fed meeting now that rate-hike odds are rising — MarketWatch
- Fed's Daly says rate hikes likely needed, but not urgently — NST Online
- EXCLUSIVE: Fed's Daly says rate hikes likely needed, but not urgently — Reuters
- Are Fed officials changing their tone ahead of October’s FOMC meeting? Here’s what they’re saying — Chase Bank
- Market is pricing in less than 25% chance of October rate hike — marketwatch.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 74%. RocketScience forecasts 78% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”?
Our call is YES at 78%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 29, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.