Politics · Polymarket

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 68%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 68%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Nov 29, 2026 (31d 7h)
Volume: $1,001,697
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

We weigh 33 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

Can KMT's Chiang Wan-an rally supporters in tight mayor race to defend his Taipei seat? · straitstimes.com
Mayor-elect Good talks about her win, outlook for next council · standard-freeholder.com
KMT's Chiang touts mayoral record at Taipei campaign HQ opening event · focustaiwan.tw
Rick Caruso endorses Karen Bass for LA mayor ahead of election · nypost.com
Outgoing Belleville Mayor Neil Ellis issues statement, following election · 91x.fm
Mayor James Mueller discusses budget, safety and Election Day · wsbt.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 68%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 29, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-28 21:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.