RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October? — Above 0.0%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 94%. RocketScience's forecast is 95%, 0.6 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 94%
- Our forecast
- 95%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 3h)
- Volume
- $63,576
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 6 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Forecast for September National Consumer Price Index: Core CPI (excluding fresh food) expected to rise to around +2.0% year-on-year. Attention also on the comprehensive effects of local government subsidy programs. ―Japan's Major Economic Indicator F — note
- US September CPI (Consumer Price Index) | Inflation re-accelerates. Prices hit 3.7% due to gasoline surge. Explaining the impact on stocks, gold, and US Treasuries — note.com
- [Weekly Preview] 10/12–10/16 | CPI and AI Semiconductor Earnings — note.com
- US CPI Looks Calm at 3.4% — But Core Inflation Tells a Less Comfortable Story — actionforex.com
- Inflation cooled in June, with prices dropping 0.4% month over month: CPI data — finance.yahoo.com
- Gasoline Drives June CPI Data Down 0.4%, What Now for Bitcoin? — Tokenist
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October? — Above 0.0%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 94%. RocketScience forecasts 95% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October? — Above 0.0%”?
Our call is YES at 95%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.