RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October? — Above 0.1%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 84%. RocketScience's forecast is 83%, 1.2 points below the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 84%
- Our forecast
- 83%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 3h)
- Volume
- $182,429
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- September US Consumer Prices Rise as Expected, Core CPI Up, Year-Over-Year Rates Accelerate — Yahoo Finance
- U.S. Inflation Rises to 3.7% in September as Gasoline Prices Jump 9.1%, Core CPI Exceeds Forecasts — Quiver Quantitative
- Odds Of A Rate Hike Rise After The September CPI Report — seekingalpha.com
- US September CPI Preview: High Oil Prices Expected to Push Up Overall Inflation, Moderate Core Inflation May Ease Urgency for Rate Hikes — Bitget
- Gas Prices Jumped 9.1% in 1 Month, and CPI Inflation Hit 3.7%. Here’s What It Means for Consumer Stocks. — fool.com
- US CPI rises 0.6pc in September — Sharecast.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October? — Above 0.1%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 84%. RocketScience forecasts 83% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October? — Above 0.1%”?
Our call is YES at 83%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.