RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October? — Above 0.2%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 44%. RocketScience's forecast is 50%, 5.5 points above the market, and our call is Not sure. That gap is big enough for a Buy YES signal.
- Market odds
- 44%
- Our forecast
- 50%
- Call
- Not sure
- Signal
- Buy YES
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 3h)
- Volume
- $105,273
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- US September Core CPI Rises 0.3% Vs. Expected 0.2% Increase, Prior 0.3% Gain — Moomoo
- US Inflation Latest News: September CPI Rises 3.7% as Core Inflation Beats Forecasts, S&P 500 Futures Fall and Treasury Yields Jump – Check Fed Rate Decision Outlook — The Sunday Guardian
- September US Consumer Prices Rise as Expected, Core CPI Up, Year-Over-Year Rates Accelerate — Yahoo Finance
- US Core CPI Rises More than Expected — TradingView
- September US Overall Consumer Prices Expected to Rise by 0.6%, Core Prices Up 0.2% — Yahoo Finance
- S&P 500, Dow futures rise ahead of big bank results, CPI data — Kitco
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October? — Above 0.2%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 44%. RocketScience forecasts 50% (Not sure), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October? — Above 0.2%”?
Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More finance predictions
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? 78%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? 29%
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate 73%
- GTA 6 launch postponed again? 5%
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps 29%
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 74%
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 29%
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? 42%
Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.