RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in October? — Above 0.3%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 18%. RocketScience's forecast is 22%, 4.4 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 18%
- Our forecast
- 22%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 3h)
- Volume
- $45,998
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Core CPI rises 0.3% in Sept, boosting Treasury yields and Fed rate hike odds; BofA profits fall, Netflix plans big layoffs. — Pluang
- US Core CPI Rises More than Expected — TradingView
- September US Consumer Prices Rise as Expected, Core CPI Up, Year-Over-Year Rates Accelerate — finance.yahoo.com
- Odds Of A Rate Hike Rise After The September CPI Report — seekingalpha.com
- US September CPI Preview: High Oil Prices Expected to Push Up Overall Inflation, Moderate Core Inflation May Ease Urgency for Rate Hikes — Bitget
- ‘Core’ consumer prices rise 0.3% in September — marketwatch.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in October? — Above 0.3%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 18%. RocketScience forecasts 22% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in October? — Above 0.3%”?
Our call is NO at 22%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.