RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in October? — Above 0.5%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 2%. RocketScience's forecast is 3%, 0.6 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 2%
- Our forecast
- 3%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 3h)
- Volume
- $36,211
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- September Inflation Reaccelerates: CPI Hits 3.7%, Core at 2.6% - Rate Hike Odds Rise - News and Statistics — IndexBox
- US Core CPI Rises More than Expected — TradingView
- US September Core Inflation Tops Estimates; Market Odds of October Fed Rate Hike Surge Past 40% — BigGo Finance
- Asian stocks rise as chipmakers rebound ahead of US inflation data — Business Standard
- Ahead of US September CPI, Can Bitcoin Break Previous High of $87,000? — TradingKey
- US CPI to rise to 3.6% in September, Truflation forecasts — Crypto News
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in October? — Above 0.5%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 2%. RocketScience forecasts 3% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in October? — Above 0.5%”?
Our call is NO at 3%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.