Finance · Kalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026? — Above 0.0%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 98%. RocketScience's forecast is 98%, 0.2 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 98%
- Our forecast
- 98%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 4h)
- Volume
- $17,871
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 6 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- US September CPI (Consumer Price Index) | Inflation re-accelerates. Prices hit 3.7% due to gasoline surge. Explaining the impact on stocks, gold, and US Treasuries — note.com
- Euro To Dollar Price Forecast: EUR/USD Slips Post CPI, Break Below 1.10? — exchangerates.org.uk
- US CPI Looks Calm at 3.4% — But Core Inflation Tells a Less Comfortable Story — actionforex.com
- Headline CPI rises 3.4% Y/Y in July, slowing from June's pace, as expected — seekingalpha.com
- Headline CPI rises 3.4% in July, slowing from June's pace — msn.com
- Inflation cooled in June, with prices dropping 0.4% month over month: CPI data — finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026? — Above 0.0%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 98%. RocketScience forecasts 98% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026? — Above 0.0%”?
Our call is YES at 98%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:31 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.