RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026? — Above 0.1%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 80%. RocketScience's forecast is 82%, 2.3 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 80%
- Our forecast
- 82%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 4h)
- Volume
- $157,817
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Wall Street Futures Rise Ahead of CPI Data and Bank Earnings — SuaraGarut.ID
- Odds Of A Rate Hike Rise After The September CPI Report (NYSEARCA:IWM) — Seeking Alpha
- US CPI rises 0.6pc in September — Sharecast.com
- US Inflation Heats Up Again as September CPI Rises to 3.7%: Will the Fed Raise Rates Again? — TradingKey
- September US Consumer Prices Rise as Expected, Core CPI Up, Year-Over-Year Rates Accelerate — Yahoo Finance
- U.S. Inflation Rises to 3.7% in September as Gasoline Prices Jump 9.1%, Core CPI Exceeds Forecasts — Quiver Quantitative
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026? — Above 0.1%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 80%. RocketScience forecasts 82% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026? — Above 0.1%”?
Our call is YES at 82%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.