RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026? — Above 0.2%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 50%. RocketScience's forecast is 52%, 2.1 points above the market, and our call is Not sure. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 50%
- Our forecast
- 52%
- Call
- Not sure
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 4h)
- Volume
- $186,959
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- S&P 500, Dow futures rise ahead of big bank results, CPI data — Tacoma News Tribune
- US Inflation Latest News: September CPI Rises 3.7% as Core Inflation Beats Forecasts, S&P 500 Futures Fall and Treasury Yields Jump – Check Fed Rate Decision Outlook — The Sunday Guardian
- China producer inflation beats forecasts as commodity costs rise, CPI lags — SRN News
- Australian Dollar gains against Japanese Yen as China CPI inflation rises in September — FXStreet
- US CPI rises 0.6pc in September — Sharecast.com
- US Inflation Heats Up Again as September CPI Rises to 3.7%: Will the Fed Raise Rates Again? — TradingKey
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026? — Above 0.2%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 50%. RocketScience forecasts 52% (Not sure), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026? — Above 0.2%”?
Our call is Not sure at 52%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.