RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026? — Above 0.3%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 19%. RocketScience's forecast is 25%, 5.6 points above the market, and our call is NO. That gap is big enough for a Buy YES signal.
- Market odds
- 19%
- Our forecast
- 25%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Buy YES
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 4h)
- Volume
- $52,674
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Core CPI rises 0.3% in Sept, boosting Treasury yields and Fed rate hike odds; BofA profits fall, Netflix plans big layoffs. — Pluang
- US CPI Rises to 3.7% as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Send the Nasdaq Down 1.9% — Markets.com
- US September CPI Inflation Rises 3.7% To Hit Six-Month High On Fuel Prices — NDTV Profit
- US CPI rises 0.6pc in September — Sharecast.com
- US Inflation Heats Up Again as September CPI Rises to 3.7%: Will the Fed Raise Rates Again? — TradingKey
- US September CPI Rises 3.7%, Slightly Above Forecast — bloomingbit
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026? — Above 0.3%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 19%. RocketScience forecasts 25% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026? — Above 0.3%”?
Our call is NO at 25%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:31 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.