RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026? — Above 0.4%
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 14%. RocketScience's forecast is 13%, 1.4 points below the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 14%
- Our forecast
- 13%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (26d 4h)
- Volume
- $7,184
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- US September CPI Rises 0.6% Vs. Expected 0.6% Increase, Prior 0.4% Gain — marketscreener.com
- US September CPI Inflation Rises to 3.7% YoY as MoM Gains 0.6% — Sahi
- US CPI Rises 0.6% in September as Energy Prices Surge — TradingView
- China producer inflation beats forecasts as commodity costs rise, CPI lags — SRN News
- US CPI Rises to 3.7%: What Bitcoin Investors Should Watch Next — Coindoo
- Australian Dollar gains against Japanese Yen as China CPI inflation rises in September — FXStreet
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026? — Above 0.4%”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 14%. RocketScience forecasts 13% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026? — Above 0.4%”?
Our call is NO at 13%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:31 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.