Politics · Kalshi

Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?

As of Oct 30, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 58%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 58%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Dec 7, 2026 (38d 0h)
Volume: $2,223
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 2 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 58%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.