RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Florida US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?
As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 34%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 34%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (12d 17h)
- Volume
- $265
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 35 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- South Carolina: Warming trend ahead · wyff4.com
- Oklahoma, South Carolina chase momentum with SEC stretch run approaching · tennesseedaily.com
- South Carolina's U.S. Senate Race: Massive Spending on Both Sides · fitsnews.com
- Annie Andrews rallies voters in South Carolina Senate race · wjcl.com
- Trump to hold another midterm rally in South Carolina · wrdw.com
- South Carolina school report cards major improvement, context · wyff4.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Florida US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 34%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Florida US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-28 21:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.