RocketScience

Finance · Kalshi

Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 10%. RocketScience's forecast is 10%, 0.5 points below the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds
10%
Our forecast
10%
Call
NO
Signal
Hold
Closes
Nov 10, 2026 (26d 7h)
Volume
$9,581
Exchange
Kalshi

Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗

Why we think this

  • The forecast tracks the de-noised market price; no strong outside evidence moves it yet.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 10%. RocketScience forecasts 10% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?”?

Our call is NO at 10%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:31 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.