Politics · Kalshi

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026?

As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 4%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 4%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Dec 1, 2026 (33d 7h)
Volume: $931
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 17 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

Former FBI Director James Comey Denies Allegations in New Filing · econotimes.com
Did Kash Patel Use Epstein Files Mess as Cover for Firing People? · newrepublic.com
US Justice Department charges former FBI Director James Comey again · aa.com.tr
Meta AI Director Rohit Patel steps down to launch AI office suite ndoc.ai · adgully.com
Justice Department files new charges against former FBI Director James Comey · wtkr.com
Justice Department Unseals Charges Against Former FBI Director James Comey · democracynow.org

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 4%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-28 21:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.