Politics · Kalshi
Will Minnesota US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?
As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 60%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 60%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (12d 17h)
- Volume
- $1,735
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Minnesota Senate candidate Austin Peterson injured in Highway 32 rollover crash · valleynewslive.com
- Minnesota Senate Race Hinges On St. Cloud, Moorhead Seats · kfilradio.com
- Minnesota Senate Race Shaken by ICE, Fraud and Ilhan Omar Probe—What Polls Show · newsweek.com
- Sanders rallies in Minnesota as U.S. Senate race tightens · vtcng.com
- 'The Only Way She Can Lose Is if They Cheat': Trump Warns of Fraud as Minnesota Senate Race Tightens · ibtimes.co.uk
- Minnesota becomes battleground as political clashes shape Senate race · wknofm.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Minnesota US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 60%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Minnesota US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-28 21:01 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.