Politics · Kalshi
Will Mississippi US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?
As of Oct 30, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 57%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 57%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (11d 1h)
- Volume
- $2,093
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 43 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Minnesota Senate candidate Austin Peterson injured in Highway 32 rollover crash · valleynewslive.com
- Minnesota Democrat leading Trump-backed Senate opponent by double digits, poll shows · wlos.com
- 'The Only Way She Can Lose Is if They Cheat': Trump Warns of Fraud as Minnesota Senate Race Tightens · ibtimes.co.uk
- Missouri Quake Confirmed Beneath Mississippi River by USGS · ksisradio.com
- Minnesota Senate leaders weigh in ahead of consequential election · keyc.com
- Minnesota Senate District 4 candidate injured in rollover on Hwy 32 · dl-online.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Mississippi US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 57%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Mississippi US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-30 12:47 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.