RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Nebraska US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?
As of Oct 31, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 58%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 22 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Latecomers get surge of PAC support in Nebraska Senate race · ketv.com
- CNN poll shows Democrats leading in Michigan and Texas Senate races · foxnews.com
- Midterms 2026: Can Democrats win the Senate races in Kansas, Nebraska, South Carolina, Florida, or Mississippi? Maybe! · slate.com
- In Texas Senate race, the girlfriends are silent · baptistnews.com
- Midterms in 30: Texas Senate Race · thegeorgeanne.com
- Trump, Talarico rally voters in Texas Senate race as midterm elections approach · katv.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Nebraska US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 58%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Nebraska US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.